线性模型的海基制导系统误差分离方法性能分析

利用传统制导工具系统误差线性回归模型，对Bayes估计、主成分分析以及正则化分析三种改进的分离方法进行了比较，分析了它们在工程应用上的优缺点，给出了实际应用时的限制因素；同时结合海基导弹特有的初始状态误差，设计了整体估计、分段估计以及迭代估计三种估计策略，给出了相应的分离步骤。仿真结果表明，文中给出的三种误差分离方法在不同的评价标准下具有不同的实际应用意义；而在弹道差评价标准以及方差评价标准下，分段估计和迭代估计策略下的误差分离结果要明显好于传统整体估计结果。     

Military autonomy: its origins,limits, and the politico-military dialectic of war

Military officers often oppose political interference in the conduct of war. Political leaders respond by citing Clausewitz’s contention that “war is the continuation of politics with the addition of other means.” Scholarship in security studies and civil-military relations argues that civilians are right to oppose military autonomy because it serves the parochial interests of the military. However, through the dialectical relationship between the violent essence of war and its political nature, Clausewitz provides an alternative explanation for military demands for autonomy. He shows that military and political leaders are prone to an incomplete understanding of war that can undermine strategy and policy.     

Ordering and controlling the dimensions of strategy

Colin Gray’s dimensions of strategy, built upon the earlier work of Clausewitz and Howard, has theoretical, practical, and pedagogic value for the Strategic Studies community. This paper further develops the theory, arguing that the dimensions can be controlled or managed to improve strategic performance. The dimensions are divided into two categories: “internal” and “external” to the process of strategy. The paper describes the dynamic process by which the internal dimensions, which can be controlled, are used to exert influence over the external dimensions that are beyond the control of the strategist. It is argued that six dimensions hold the key to strategic success: politics and the five dimensions concerned with warfighting. This conclusion validates the Clausewitzian paradigm with its emphasis on policy and battle.     

Land power in the age of joint interdependence: toward a theory of land power for the twenty-first century*

This essay outlines a theory of land power. After explaining the absence of such a theory, the article establishes the modern context for such a theory, specifically within the concept of joint interdependence. The analysis defines key terms and premises behind the theory, to include a definition of land power. The argument then outlines the national elements of power that contribute to a theory of land power. The analysis next applies the theory to the fundamental purposes of military power: defeat, deter, compel, assure, shape and support to the nation. The analysis then tests key definitions, supporting premises, and utility of the theory. The essay argues that historical experience validates the applicability and utility of the theory, and offers a solid basis for extrapolating the validity of the theory into the near future.     

边防毗邻省区跨域协同警务战略研究

在非传统安全威胁不断增多的情况下，公安边防部队维护边疆社会治安和政治大局稳定的职能作用更加凸现。针对公安边防部队点多、线长、面广的特点和毗邻省区结合部管理防范相对薄弱的实际，研究探索新形势下加强毗邻跨域警务协同、联手固边的工作机制，形成无缝链接——“全国边防一盘棋”的整体战略，全面提升公安边防部队战斗力，具有极其重要的现实意义。     

kittel型反铁电相变的自由能

根据kittel型反铁电相变对称性的变化 ,选择轴矢量 R作为序参量是合适的。由Landau理论 ,相变温度附近的自由能F就可以写成 R幂级数展开的形式。令 F R=0 ,可得到关于序参量的方程 ,从而获得相变温度与自由能的关系     

基于迭代Bargaining策略优化服务合成执行路径

服务质量(QoS)是优化服务合成执行路径的关键研究内容,当前绝大多数存在的方法很少注意到商业环境下服务商之间存在的隐性竞争压力可能会迫使服务商动态改变他们的QoS值以至于合成优化执行路径发生改变.针对此问题,提出一个基于迭代Bargaining策略的约束违背纠正方法.该方法使用本地最优化策略,在没有考虑用户QoS约束的情况下建立一条最优执行路径.对此路径,全局QoS计算模型和全局约束违背检查模型能找出所有发生的约束违背.一个迭代的Bargaining策略被递归作用于关键路径执行节点,使得更好服务提供商被选出替换原有执行节点,从而一个优化的执行路径能被重新建立以满足用户综合的QoS约束需求.     

新形势下对进一步加强消防工作的几点思考

消防工作是国民经济和社会发展的重要组成部分，是发展社会主义市场经济不可缺少的保障条件。作为与经济发展密切相关的公安消防部门，如何更好地适应经济发展的需要，实现消防工作跨越式发展，是当前公安消防部门需要深入研究探索的一个重要课题。     

三架固定翼无人机协同编队飞行避障策略

针对无人机编队执行空战任务过程中存在无人机之间以及无人机与障碍物发生碰撞的问题，提出单向网络连接结构的多无人机避障算法和基于人工势场的控制方法，同时应用于无人机编队避障控制。以三架无人机构成的正三角形编队作为控制体，同时以长机的运动轨迹作为期望路径，长机提供僚机飞行信息，僚机接受信息保持编队飞行。多无人机编队发现障碍物到避障完成的过程包括编队集结、松散队形、最终恢复集结正三角形编队。仿真实验结果表明，所提避障控制策略能够确保编队收敛于期望的队形和稳定飞行状态。     

基于多信号模型的装甲车辆电源系统诊断策略

针对装甲车辆电源系统模块失效和信号失效不统一的特点,提出了一种多信号模型的改进方法,在此基础上,通过电源系统故障模式影响分析,建立了电源系统测试性模型。基于故障熵理论,利用诊断信息量和费用优化的启发式函数,确立了系统的诊断策略。计算结果表明:该方法对诊断策略的优化是有效的。该方法对装甲车辆电源系统诊断策略的研究具有一定参考意义。